the show is over, so when iPhone clones will come?

January 10th, 2007

Now that excitement of the discovery is gone, I take some time to have a deeper analysis of the announce. Beyond of what seems to be one of the best UI, there are many issue that are still open:
  • WiFi, but no 3G. Both are complementary, and it’s so hard today to find a WiFi hotspot than 3G remains frequently the best alternative. Anyway, it might be the reason why the phone is only expected Q4′07 in Europe.
  • Not extensible by third parties (only Apple or Cingular probably)! So, why putting Mac OS-X if you can not add any application? Seems that we are back to the closed garden!
  • No iTune sync OTA or through WiFi? Is it a phone or not??? Not sure that operators will be happy with this, or may be it’s an attempt to sell more Mac? :-)

Another question, is it a “real” Mac Os-X, or a “Mac Os-X mobile“. Apple claims that it’s real, but remembers that there are versions of it without any hard drive. Can you put a full Mac OS X on a device without hard drive? It will be probably in the 512 Meg to 1 Gig range, without any ability to easily be expanded. I am not sure, but I guess that it’s the equivalent of Windows Mobile for Windows….

The other strange statement is the “support for Cingular“? Does this mean that it won’t be supported for other operators? Do I have to wait for Apple to get an agreement with all operators to get such phone?

Other annoying things, but that are less important:

  • No expandable memory (does this mean no memory card?)
  • No removable battery (still incredible)
  • No exchange or office support (I do not care of this, but it just gives some clues about the fact that it might be a closed approach)

Now, what is sure, is that Apple pushed the expectation to the next level, but I am not sure than they will get all the benefit of it. I guess it will be much easiest now for a third party to “copy” some of these features (or to be inspired by it). On the MP3 market, it’s already the case: Apple is not any more a real innovator, and many third parties players are much easiest to use, and cheaper than Apple one. Apple seems to have a lot of patent here, but will it be enough to block their competitors? Having a closed garden approach might prevent huge platform adoption….

Look at the iPod games: as far as I know, no extra games has been
deployed since the initial announce…. Too complex? Too closed? Too
costly?

Of course, the first “iPhone” clones will be disappointing. The will look the same, but won’t have the same usability. Biggest player will make efforts, and will try to differentiate. They make money from hardware, not services, so they do not have any interest to “close” their phones. In fact, I think that this will open doors for software provider to team with manufacturers to quickly provide some features of this level.

But I still think that it’s a great device (I want one!), that contains a lot of really cool innovation. I am just questionning the Apple strategic choices….

A few interesting links:
http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/gartenberg/archives/2007/01/whats_missing_f.html
http://www.engadget.com/2007/01/09/the-iphone-is-not-a-smartphone/

Apple Missed Opportunity

Technorati Tags: , ,

Entry Filed under: Wireless

6 Comments Add your own

  • 1. Sam Nova  |  January 10th, 2007 at 11:53 am

    Got to comment on “Look at the iPod games: as far as I know, no extra games has been deployed since the initial announce…. Too complex? Too closed? Too costly?”

    I think it was last week where two new games got launched, so 11 games now.
    I would expect Apple and the Games publishers who have been involved with the iPod games to wait and feel the market…

    Got to agree there are many un-answered things about the iPhones and I’m also very skeptic about it, but as you “I want one”.

  • 2. Martin  |  January 10th, 2007 at 1:59 pm

    I had the same thought as you this morning: “Maybe my first MAC is going to be an iPhone” :-)

    Very nice roundup of the pro’s and con’s as we know them today.

    I think you are right, if I buy one or not in the end depends on how open the environment is going to be. If only Apple or Cingular or whoever controls what users can and can’t do then that’s a problem. I think it is too early to tell which way this will go in the next 24 months.

    Martin

  • 3. Frederic Brunel  |  January 10th, 2007 at 5:45 pm

    Concerning operators that could support it, I’ve read recently on a blog that Rogers (a Canadian operator) will support it.

    About OS X, that kind of system can really be stripped down to a mini version pretty much like Linux. I guess they’ve kept the OS X architecture and especially the 3D compositing layer. I don’t think all Aqua interface is part of it., only a subset…

  • 4. TomSoft  |  January 12th, 2007 at 12:21 pm

    @Sam: Yes, you are right, I’ve missed these two new games…But I guess they were probably under development, and not ready for the launch…. (and good to see you here! :-) )

  • 5. Andrea C.  |  January 12th, 2007 at 1:07 pm

    Tom, I think iPhone can be revolutionary from the UI point of view and - hopefully - will be a trend setter for new UI frameworks for the different OS (symbian, win Mobile, even Linux) and technlogies (especially Java ME).

    But it is definitely not a revolution from the entire device point of view or telecom market pov.

    And it looks too much “closed” to developers…

  • 6. TomSoft » Carnival &hellip  |  January 15th, 2007 at 8:49 pm

    […] And a small mention to my post about inevitable evolution of iPhone competitors: the show is over, so when iPhone clones will comes? […]

Leave a Comment

Required

Required, hidden

Some HTML allowed:
<a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

Trackback this post  |  Subscribe to the comments via RSS Feed


Calendar

January 2009
M T W T F S S
« Dec    
 1234
567891011
12131415161718
19202122232425
262728293031  

Archives

  • December 2008
  • October 2008
  • July 2008
  • June 2008
  • May 2008
  • April 2008
  • March 2008
  • February 2008
  • January 2008
  • December 2007
  • November 2007
  • October 2007
  • Most Recent Posts

    Most Recent Comments